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Volume 46, No. 4, Fall 2012 |
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Passing Tax Reform:
The Devil is in the Deductions
ALAN VIARD
Economists have long been attracted to proposals to broaden the income tax base
by limiting deductions and other tax preferences, an approach that has drawn
increasing attention since the release of the Simpson-Bowles report in December
2010.
In recent days, the looming fiscal cliff has catapulted income tax
base-broadening to the forefront of the tax policy debate. Fortunately, this is
an area where Republicans and Democrats should be able to work together.
Republicans need to ensure, though, that base-broadening is done right, in ways
that reduce government intervention in the economy and avoid aggravating the tax
bias against saving.
Emboldened by the election results, President Obama and Congressional Democrats
have doubled down on their call to raise taxes on households in the top two to
three percent of the income distribution. Despite what some of the Democratic
rhetoric suggests, tax increases on that group will not be sufficient to address
the long-term budget imbalance. Commentators across the ideological spectrum
agree that entitlement spending cuts, tax increases on the broad middle class,
or both will also be required. But, it’s likely that a fiscal compromise will
include some tax increases on high income earners.
The question is what form the tax increases will take. Democrats prefer to hike
the top tax rates. Republicans are rightly pushing income tax base-broadening as
an alternative. As the debate progresses, though, Republicans must be careful
not to buy into the fallacy that all base- broadening is inherently good.
Instead, they must think clearly about the economic benefits that the right kind
of base-broadening can offer and tailor their proposals to capture those
benefits.
The tax breaks that should be in Republicans’ crosshairs are the ones that give
people artificial incentives to change their behavior.
The tax breaks that should be in Republicans’ crosshairs are the ones that give
people artificial incentives to change their behavior. These tax preferences
divert economic resources away from where the market would direct them, just as
many government spending programs do, and they should be held to the same
standards as spending programs. Unless the government can demonstrate a
legitimate reason to override the market, the preferences should be reformed or
eliminated.
The leading examples are easy to identify. Today’s income tax system favors
owner-occupied housing over business capital and employer-provided health
insurance over cash wages. And, the favoritism is strongest for affluent
taxpayers because they’re in the highest tax brackets, where each dollar shaved
from taxable income yields the biggest tax savings. These provisions
inefficiently encourage the building of bigger homes and the proliferation of
Cadillac health plans, drawing capital away from the business sector and driving
up medical costs. Capping these tax breaks can curb the excesses while still
helping people buy homes and get health insurance. Other tax provisions also
distort the economy. For example, the state and local tax deduction and the
municipal bond interest exclusion put a thumb on the scale in favor of bigger
state and local government.
Reducing distortions of this kind is the real advantage of good base-broadening.
Unfortunately, another much-touted advantage is a myth – base-broadening doesn’t
raise revenue while magically leaving work incentives unimpaired. Because
workers spend part of each extra dollar of wages they earn on tax-deductible
items, the deductions soften the tax burden on that dollar and reduce the
penalty on work. Taking away the deductions increases the tax burden on the
extra dollar, just as rate increases do. Sad to say, base-broadening unavoidably
increases the tax penalty on work.
Republicans should remain on guard against proposals to curtail tax
“preferences” that ameliorate the saving penalty.
If it’s done right, though, base broadening need not worsen the income tax’s
other structural bias: its penalty on saving. Republicans should remain on guard
against proposals to curtail tax “preferences” that ameliorate the saving
penalty. They should particularly resist calls to increase taxes on dividends
and capital gains on corporate stock – because that income has already been
taxed at the corporate level, lower tax rates at the individual level are
necessary to counteract double taxation.
Income tax base-broadening won’t be easy or painless. Repealing obscure
loopholes used by obscure special interests won’t be enough – politically
difficult changes to popular tax breaks will be necessary. But, the right kind
of base-broadening can limit government interference in the economy, promoting
economic growth and making the pain worthwhile.
Alan D. Viard is a resident
scholar at the American Enterprise Institute.
He previously served as a senior economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of
Dallas and an assistant professor of economics at Ohio State University.